CONFERENCE PROCEEDING
Changes in excess deaths from smoking in
Poland between 2005 and 2020
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Maria Sklodowska-Curie National Research Institute of Oncology, Warsaw, Poland
Publication date: 2022-07-05
Tob. Prev. Cessation 2022;8(Supplement):A109
ABSTRACT
Background:
Smoking is a single, well-identified cause of many lethal diseases.
This is one of the few determinants of cancer and other lifethreatening
diseases that can be completely eliminated. Many
diseases and deaths can be avoided by changing people’s attitudes
and behavior towards smoking.
Objective:
The main purpose of this study is to present changes in health
consequences of smoking in Poland between 2005 and 2020.
Methods:
Poland’s population data, mortality data, and smoking
frequencies come from Statistics Poland. The relative risk of
death (compared to non-smokers) for each of these diseases is
based on the prospective Cancer Prevention Study II (CPS-II)
results, conducted by the American Cancer Society in the 1980s
on a sample of 1.2 million Americans. The magnitude of excess
deaths has been estimated for the major disease groups, such as
malignant neoplasms, respiratory tract diseases, cardiovascular
diseases, and digestive tract diseases.
Results:
Between 2005 and 2020 the proportion of smokers in males
dropped by 7 percentage points (from 31% to 24%), while in
females it remained stable (20%). The number of excess deaths,
especially among men, has decreased (males 54000 vs 32000;
females 20000 vs 18000). The excess deaths fraction from cancer
in men decreased from 73% to 37%. There was an increase in this
fraction among women from 14% in 2005 to 18% in 2020. Among
the other causes of death in both genders there was a reduction
in the fraction of excess deaths related to smoking.
Conclusions:
The obtained results indicate that cutting down on smoking
prevalence translates directly into a considerable reduction of the
excess deaths related to smoking-dependent diseases.